Reason: A big showdown in St. Louis, which means both managers will use their best relief pitchers. And the starters are outstanding. Bronson Arroyo (14-8, 3.82 ERA) has a 2.95 ERA his last three starts, a veteran fired up for a pennant race. Jaime Garcia (2.33 ERA) of the Cardinals is 3-0 against the Reds this season and on a tear, with no runs allowed his last three starts! Look for a defensive duel in this one, Play the Reds/Cardinals Under the total.
Reason: Redskins/Cardinals Under the total. Washington makes their longest road trip of the entire season here, and many starters won’t even make the trip. Mike Shanahan said Donovan McNabb is out and won't play, so we have a QB rotation of Rex Grossman, John Beck and Richard Bartel - not exactly Earl Morrall and Norm Van Brocklin off the pine! Arizona rookies Max Hall and John Skelton will take most of the snaps, plus the Cardinals' WRs have been thin all preseason. Play the Redskins/Cardinals Under the total.
The Cardinals squeaked out a home win in week one of this season but that was their first home win in the preseason in their last eight games! Mike Shanahan is the active king in the NFLX. He has an overall record of 43-20, and is already 2-1 this season. He not only has the best record and most wins, his best foot comes forward in game four. Since 1997 Shanahan has amassed a 10-2 mark in the final week of the preseason, so seeing him on the plus side of a big number is definitely the place to be. Ken Wisenhunt has shown no interest in these games, as his Arizona team is 4-11 in the 15 he has coached. He has also taken the doughnut in week four (0-3). Sometimes 0-3 can be deceiving but not in this case as his Arizona teams have been outscored 68-17 in game four, including a shutout last year. Finally, Wisenhunt is 0-6 ATS as a favorite in the preseason. Washington should keep this close if not win.
FREE PLAY
1 Unit on Minnesota Twins -115
Odds makers are overvaluing Verlander's presence on the hill, and that is allowing us to get the Twins at a great price. And I won't hesitate to make a small wager, considering how good Baker has been for Minnesota. The Twins have won each of Baker's last 7 starts, during which he has posted an ERA of 3.02. We also can't ignore the fact that Minnesota is an impressive 21-6 in home games against the Tigers the last 3 seasons, including 7-1 this year. While I'll never doubt Verlander's stuff, I will doubt the lineup that is supporting him. A lack of run support is a big reason why the Tigers have dropped 5 of his last 7 starts. But Verlander has to take a little responsibility as well, considering he has a high 4.53 road ERA. Take the Twins at home tonight.
Jimmy Boyd has 2 NCAAF plays, 1 NFLX play and 1 MLB play you can take to the bank tonight! Join him as he continues his Red Hot 12-4 NFL 5* Top Play Tear w/ his ONE & ONLY 5* 2010 NFLX GAME OF THE YEAR! Jimmy also continues his 8-3 NCAAF Hot Streak w/ his Thursday NCAAF *BEST BET* and his USC/Hawaii NCAAF *Crunch Time Bailout*! The 2007 MLB World Handicapping Champion continues his Incredible 127-82 (61%) MLB Money Line Tear (profiting $1,000/unit bettors over $65,000) w/ his Thursday Night MLB SMASH as well
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Ryan has attained a solid 5-1 ATS run with his recent NLFX releases. He has a 15* Titan gong tonight that he feels is a complete mismatch. Get his research and bet with complete winning confidence.
3* graded play on Denver as they take on Minnesota in NFLX action set to start at 8:05 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Denver will lose this game by fewer than three points and has a solid shot at winning the game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 30-9 ATS mark for 77% winners since 1993. Play on road teams after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game facing an opponent after a win by 10 or more points. Denver led Pittsburgh 17-3 at the half of their last game and Minnesota won 24-13 over Seattle confirming the criteria for the system. A strong bet is to consider a money line play on Denver and is reinforced by the fact that Denver is 13-3 against the money line (+10.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in two out of their last three games since 1993. Denver failed to cover in the first two games losing at Cincinnati 33-24 as 3 1/2 point dogs and then losing to Detroit at home 25-20 installed as 3 1/2 point favorites. They did cover their last game against Pittsburgh winning at home 24-13 installed as 4 1/2 point favorites. There is no doubt that the Vikings will do everything possible to protect the defensive starting unit. The complete first unit may not even play one snap together based on a growing injury list that now includes projected starting corner back Chris Cook. The second-round pick out of Virginia was to replace former starter Cedric Griffin, who is rehabbing from a torn anterior cruciate ligament. Minnesota will face New Orleans in a Week 1 rematch of last year’s NFC Championship Game. The Saints run multiple three- and four-receiver sets so the Vikings cannot afford another loss to the secondary. Denver will have strong scoring opportunities with either Tebow or Quinn at the helm as they will be matched up against Minnesota’s second and third unit defensive players.
Ryan had another huge CFB season in 2009 + ended it with another big bowl run. He has posted a 26-11 ATS record in bowl games over the past 2 seasons. He hit 60% ATS in ALL CFB releases last season. This one features an amazing system and complete analysis showing you why this play will win easily.
Free Play for 9/2/10
1 Unit on Minnesota Twins -115 The Key: The Twins are 7-1 at home against Detroit this season, and I'll back them at a great price with Baker on the hill tonight. The Twins are a perfect 7-0 in Baker's last 7 starts. Verlander is a quality pitcher, but he has struggled on the road this season, and the Tigers have lost 5 of his last 7 starts. Take the Twins.
Dave Price finished as the No. 5 Ranked Overall Football Handicapper in 2009-10 (profiting $1,000/game bettors $14,570), and he's ready for an even bigger campaign this year! Get ready to take your man to the cleaners Thursday night w/ Dave's NFLX/NCAAF 4-Play Power Pack, featuring his 7* NFLX BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR and his USC/Hawaii 6* NCAAF Season Opener BEST BET! This 4-pack is guaranteed to profit or Friday's picks are on the house!
College Football Selections
Play on: Toledo+ over Arizona
Okay, we have an obvious edge with the Wildcats coming out of the PAC-10 and Toledo showing from the MAC. However, each unit returns the same amount of starters (12) from last season. Arizona has the edge on offense with 8 studs versus only 6 from Toledo on defense. Still, Rockets coach Tim Beckman in his 2nd season should have a competitor’s edge in the Glass Bowl. At home, the Rockets are 14-4 SU in opening games and field with a little REVENGE on the table. In 2008, Toledo was crushed by the Wildcats 41-16 out in the desert. In their last 4 non-conference outings this visitor is a perfect 0-4 ATS and 1-6 ATS in road openers. Take the points!
Don't miss our key 20 UNIT MLB 'TOTAL' MOVE on Friday.
USC is a team in disarray and after the NCAA brought the hammer down on the Trojans, this season was going to likely be a tough one. However, despite playing for nothing I think USC comes out of the gates strong as simply as a matter of pride more than anything else. The team is going to likely struggle for the next couple years more so than this year because of the loss of future scholarships. This is a statement game for USC. Hawaii was on top of the world just a couple years ago as it boasted one of the best offenses in the country while putting together a combined 23-4 record in 2006 and 2007. Head coach June Jones decided to leave after the 2007 season and it has not been the same as the Warriors have gone 13-14 in the two years since under head coach Greg McMakin. Hawaii brings back just 12 starters from last season and a lot of the rebuilding spots are key positions. The Trojans offense should start right where it left off last season. They finished 55th and 64th respectively in total offense and scoring offense and those are not typical USC rankings. However they Trojans were hit hard with injuries and were also starting a freshman at quarterback Matt Barkley. Barkley was average but again, he was just a freshman and that year of experience will be a huge benefit this season. He has an experienced line in from and a great running game behind him. Head coach Lane Kiffin brought some baggage with him but he also brought in his father Monte Kiffin to run the defense. The stop unit was average as well but the front seven will be vastly improved after a year of inexperience set them back. The secondary is an area of concern as all four starters have to be replaced. However cornerback Shareece Wright, who was academically ineligible last season, is back for his senior season and is their best cover corner. Hawaii will be more than ready for this game, especially at home but top to bottom it cannot compete with the Trojans even though the team is thin with injuries and transfers. The Trojans also fall into a solid situation that has been profitable for years. Play against home teams that allowed a 58 percent or worse completion percentage and with five offensive starters returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 33-4 ATS (89.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. The Trojans are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 non-conference games. 3* USC Trojans
The NCAA season kicks off on Thursday and Fargo will have you covered from day one through the BCS Championship! He starts right where he left off last season as Matt started 2010 with a bang last season by going a SIZZLING 9-4-1 ATS (64.3%)! He continues his football prowess backed by TREMENDOUS 22-6 ATS (78.6%) Team Angles! Start the year with a TOP PLAY ticket!
Take the Owls as your FREE College Football Winner tonight. Gotten love the old man Howard Schnellenberger. This guy is the energizer bunny. Owls strength is their defense and UAB is a bit overrated in my eyes. Fla. Atl. normally takes on Texas, Nebraska, South Carolina et al. This is actually a step down from their normal non-conference scheduling. Take this bundle of points tonight.
Tonight is my College Kick-off Best Bet. Build your bankroll for my Monster Top Rated 10* Weekend with a pair of Winners going Saturday and Sunday $$
Hey sportsfans, I am back to start another moneymaking NCAAF season for you. When it comes to BIG GAME WINNERS, there is nobody better then me. This Saturday, I come right out of the gate with guns blazing. I have nothing but winners for you. I start this season with this FREE GAME as well as 3 HUGE WINNERS for you. Start your season off right, with money in your pocket. Follow me and get paid.
Today’s FREE GAME is Alabama over San Jose State.
National Champion and pre-season #1, Alabama is touted as taking it all once again this season. They have QB McElroy, Heisman winner RB Ingram, and WR Jones all back. Despite having a meeting with Penn State upcoming, ‘Bama usually takes one game at a time. HC Nick Saban loves having SJ State as his first game of the year. They get to blow out a nobody and show the nation how good they are. On both sides of the ball, the Tide will devour the Spartan’s. San Jose State gave up an average of 37.0 PPG a season ago, including 62 points to Nevada and 55 to Louisiana Tech. For State, it goes from bad to worse as they lost their top WR in Avery who is ruled ineligible. The Spartan’s are 5-16 ATS their L21 overall and 0-8 ATS their L8 games played on the road. The Tide is 6-1 ATS their L7 games played in September. Alabama will crush San Jose State. Thank you.
The Washington State Cougars have been one of the worst teams in college football for each of the past two seasons. Sure, Oklahoma State loses some talent this offseason, but they have enough left in the cupboard to crush Washington State at home Saturday. The Cowboys do bring back two of their top playmakers in jitterbug RB Kendall Hunter and WR Hubert Anyiam, who became the team's go-to receiver last year with Dez Bryant suspended. Bill Young was brought over to coach up the defense last season, and OSU made a huge jump from 93rd in total defense in 2008 to 31st in total defense last year. WSU went 1-11 last year, averaging 12.0 points/game and giving up 38.5 points/game while getting outscored by 26.5 points/game. Head coach Paul Wulff is now 3-22 in his two years here. The Cougars went 0-7 on the road last year, getting outscored by 30.6 points/game. Take Oklahoma State and lay the points.
Finally its here CFB starts on Thursday and Craig is all over it with a 5 star **Gridiron Starter** to roll with. Even better get in on Craig's all football package at a 35% discount at only $299 for all football plays thru super bowl. Don't wait this price goes away NLF week 1!
PIT +3: This line has been moving in our favor and loved it at opening line at +1. Only questions that kept this from a top 5 star play was new QB Sunseri for PITT. Still PITT offense is loaded with Lewis at RB and Baldwin at WR, both of which are future NFL superstars. UTAH defense has been good the last two years but losing both safties could have them vulnerable early in the season. PITT defense will also be very stout as they are loaded with depth on the line. Pretty good starting play here.
Seattle starter Doug Fister has 3 walks and 16 strikeouts in his last 3 starts. Fister has allowed 3 or less runs in 3 of his last 4 starts. The Mariners are 4-1 their last 5 home games as favorites and they are 5-2 their 7 games as favorites. Cleveland starter Josh Tomlin is off a phony win in his last start where he allowed twice as many baserunners as innings pitched. The Indians are 28-61 their last 89 games as underdogs. PLAY ON SEATTLE (Fister vs. Tomlin)
Washington State at Oklahoma State
Make no bones about it this Washington State team has been horrendous the past two seasons posting a 3-22 record. They were 9-15 ATS and the linesmaker knows he has to increase the tariff in order to get action on the Cougars. That said, this is the third year of Paul Wulff's system and there is a light at the end of the tunnel. There are 15 returning starters including the quarterback and the line play is really improving. For those that follow football closely you are well aware that the game is won and lost in the trenches and this team is getting better and better on the lines. In fact, the defensive line has been the strength of the team in camp.
While we like the improvement of the Cougars the real reason we look to take the underdog here is that Oklahoma State lost a ton of talent in the offseason. They return just eight starters and 11 players will be making their very first starts of their college careers. As many as 10 true freshmen could see action Saturday for the Cowboys. In addition to the huge graduation losses Oklahoma State has lost three defensive players in the two deep to season ending injuries. They have also lost three middle linebackers for the season. After improving from 28.1 ppg allowed in 2008 to 21.7 ppg permitted last season we expect a huge jump in points allowed this year. The Cowboys were a combined 18-8 the last two seasons but you can argue that no other team in the country can match the Cowboy losses.
With so many new faces on the roster it's virtually impossible for head coach Mike Gundy to have his team hitting on all cylinders this early in the season. Last year the Cowboys were double digit favorites four times posting a 1-3 spread record, the only spread win was against non-FBS squad Grambling State. Not only did the Cowboys struggle to put away the opposition, but they lost outright hosting Houston as a 15 point favorite. In fact, against regularly lined teams Oklahoma State lost to the spread when favored by double digits by a combined 56 points! Gundy will be looking to play a lot of players in this game to get a better idea of what he has before hosting a solid Troy team next week. Does that sound like a team worthy of laying more that two touchdowns with?
PLAY WASHINGTON STATE
Seattle @ Oakland 10:00 PM EST
Play On: Seattle +3 1/2
Oakland will be without starting quarterback Jason Campbell for this one along with running back Michael Bush and wideout Chaz Schilens. Seattle will be looking hard at their running back position. Justin Forsett, Leon Washington and Julius Jones are all competing for playing time and will be at their best here tonight. Seattle also has very good backups at the quarterback position as Charlie Whitehurst and JP Loseman will be seeing most of the action tonight. Seattle is 5-1 ATS last 3 years as an underdog in preseason. Seattle is 6-0 ATS against AFC West division opponents. Seattle is 6-1 ATS last 3 years in non-conference games. Seattle is 5-1 SU and ATS overall vs Oakland since 1993 in preseason action. We'll recommend a small play on Seattle tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
PITT/UTAH U49.5 (1.1 DIMES)
I like Pitt and Utah to play a lot of defense here tonight. Dion Lewis will be getting lots of carries for the Panthers as they will have a new QB. Lewis may run wild with all new LB and safeties on Utah's side, but Utah is still strong up front and Pitt is breaking in two new guards and a new center. Same goes for Utah who are under 7-3 in their last 10 games overall. I like Utah to squeek out a win, but this is going to be a close game played on the defensive side of the ball in my opinion.
Don't miss out on my NCAAF POD which can be found on the site.. I was 29-13 (69%) on NCAAF play of the days a year ago! I was the #2 NCAAF HANDICAPPER LAST YEAR!
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #104 Take East Carolina over Tulsa (Sunday 2 pm ESPN 2) A new era for the Pirates starts on Sunday, as Ruffin McNeil takes over as the new head coach of East Carolina. Former Coach Skip Holtz left and took with him much of the talent from last year’s 9-5 team. That being said, I just do not believe that the Golden Hurricanes are good enough to be able to cover this number on the road. East Carolina won at Tulsa this year by a score of 44-17, as a four point underdog. WR Dwayne Harris is still on the team and I expect him to go over 1000 yards receiving on the year. The Golden Hurricanes return only five starters on defense and I expect this to be a high scoring game with the underdog covering easily. East Carolina is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Conference USA games. Don’t miss Doc’s Sports weekend card, featuring a top play from the Big Ten, a conference Doc has owned for 39 years.
Hawaii was 6-7 last year as they moved the ball for 437 yards of offense per game, but they only generated 22.8 points per game. Defensively, the Warriors were anything but, permitting 202 yards on the ground and picked apart for completion percentage of 64.1 percent.
Bryant Momiz is back at quarterback for Hawaii and does return a pair of dangerous receivers. However, the O-Line has to be rebuilt, which is especially tricky against USC defensive front.
Look to Play Against home teams who were poor passing defense from last season, allowing a completion percentage of 58% or worse, with five or less offensive starters returning. This football system is domineering 33-4 ATS, 89.2 percent since 2000. (Bonus-Kansas State and Notre Dame also fit this system)
Free Plays 12-7 in L19 and be certain to check out all my football plays this weekend including tonight’s - College Football Line Move Miscalculation -. I’m 5-1 on my Top Plays to start the football season and Doug Upstone was documented No.1 in college football in 2008.
*#3 RANKED NCAA FOOTBALL CAPPER FROM 2008!* I cannot wait to put together another profitable season starting tonight with my 3 NCAAF Winners Thursday for $34.99! I have a special package that earns you all three plays as I build on my HOT 6-1 (86%) NCAAF Run dating back to last season! You'll get plays in Utah/Pitt, N. Illinois/IA State, and Minnesota/MTSU upon purchase!
*#2 MLB CAPPER IN 2010 & 2008 MLB WORLD CHAMP!* 365-343 MLB Run L103 Days (+4712 Units) w/ 161 of those 365 wins on underdogs has $1,000/game bettors up $47,120! I spot only one play worth wagering on the bases tonight! This 5 Unit TOP PLAY Thursday goes in the Phillies/Rockies clash at 7:10 EST! These 5 Unit plays are my *BIGGEST* releases on a daily basis! You can get 1 MLB and 3 NCAAF plays Thursday with my 1-Day Package for $39.99!
Seattle should not be this heavy of a favorite against anyone. The Mariners are just 52-81 this season, and though Cleveland hasn't been much better they are still worth a wager at this price Thursday. The Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 visits to Safeco Field in Seattle. This is a Mariners team that is at the bottom of the league in many offensive categories. Their 3.2 RPG ranks dead last in the majors and the Mariners are hitting just .236 as a team with a .299 on base percentage this year.
Josh Tomlin has been effective in six starts this season, posting a 4.08 ERA with the Indians winning half of his starts. Doug Fister has been decent as well, but his lack of run support has the Mariners at just 7-15 in Fister's 22 starts this season. Fister is 1-10 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. Seattle is 5-22 against the money line revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. I fully expect the Indians to pick up their 6th straight road win over the Mariners Thursday. Take Cleveland.
CONSISTENT 62-42 (60%) Football Run L104 Releases! College football is here, and Jack Jones is wasting no time getting after it! Sign up for his 20* CFB Opening Night No-Brainer for $34.95 as he brings you the most obvious wager on the board Thursday! The odds makers have made a HUGE ERROR with this line tonight, and Jack has you capitalizing! GUARANTEED or Friday's entire card is ON JACK!
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